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	<title>Comments on: Do you believe in magic?</title>
	<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/</link>
	<description>se wo were fi na wosan kofa a yenki</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 05 Jul 2008 12:25:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Steve Z</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-51142</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Z</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Feb 2007 02:23:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-51142</guid>
		<description>Janene, re #19,
We shouldn't lie to those people about things being complex, however you can mention simple 'solutions'. How about walking (bare-foot preferably) to their destination and not worrying about E85?
They will certainly enjoy a locally made E052 (beer!) when they get home - and be fitter physically. I think there are some other posts up on this web-site about foraging and needing to walk 2-3 hours per day anyway...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Janene, re #19,<br />
We shouldn&#8217;t lie to those people about things being complex, however you can mention simple &#8217;solutions&#8217;. How about walking (bare-foot preferably) to their destination and not worrying about E85?<br />
They will certainly enjoy a locally made E052 (beer!) when they get home - and be fitter physically. I think there are some other posts up on this web-site about foraging and needing to walk 2-3 hours per day anyway&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Splitting the Atom (The Anthropik Network)</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-24200</link>
		<dc:creator>Splitting the Atom (The Anthropik Network)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Oct 2006 17:43:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-24200</guid>
		<description>[...] I've recently been evaluating the alternatives to our current energy economy. In "Do you believe in magic?" I argued that biofuels, and most renewable energy sources in general, run into the basic problem that we only get so much energy from the sun every day. "The Other Fossil Fuel" took a look at coal, and why it's an unlikely (and undesirable) replacement for our current energy usage. So, what about the new hot button energy source, touted by environmentalists from James Lovelock to Patrick Moore and Stewart Brand: nuclear? [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] I&#8217;ve recently been evaluating the alternatives to our current energy economy. In &#8220;Do you believe in magic?&#8221; I argued that biofuels, and most renewable energy sources in general, run into the basic problem that we only get so much energy from the sun every day. &#8220;The Other Fossil Fuel&#8221; took a look at coal, and why it&#8217;s an unlikely (and undesirable) replacement for our current energy usage. So, what about the new hot button energy source, touted by environmentalists from James Lovelock to Patrick Moore and Stewart Brand: nuclear? [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>By: Jason Godesky</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-16897</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason Godesky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jul 2006 17:22:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-16897</guid>
		<description>The whole point of all the evidence and arguments presented above is that there's &lt;em&gt;not&lt;/em&gt; enough solar.  Sure, the earth gets a lot of energy from the sun every day, but we also use a lot of energy--a lot more than we get.  I don't think you've really done anything to address that.  Yes, we get lots of solar energy, but we use even more energy than that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The whole point of all the evidence and arguments presented above is that there&#8217;s <em>not</em> enough solar.  Sure, the earth gets a lot of energy from the sun every day, but we also use a lot of energy&#8211;a lot more than we get.  I don&#8217;t think you&#8217;ve really done anything to address that.  Yes, we get lots of solar energy, but we use even more energy than that.</p>
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		<title>By: mickslam</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-16895</link>
		<dc:creator>mickslam</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jul 2006 17:04:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-16895</guid>
		<description>Nope, there is plenty of solar, and throw in hydro and ocean wave, there is many thousands of times as much energy as we need. 

At the equator, a square meter gets about 1 kW of power, so every square kilometer gets a gigawatt of power.  Take the area of a circle with radius of 6325km  and you get a very large number of gigawatts.  Plenty of energy, even before we get to wave power.

This doesn't really address that we can't use all of that power.  I know.  But its there.  And it doesn't address that people don't realize how close we are collape.  But the power is there.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nope, there is plenty of solar, and throw in hydro and ocean wave, there is many thousands of times as much energy as we need. </p>
<p>At the equator, a square meter gets about 1 kW of power, so every square kilometer gets a gigawatt of power.  Take the area of a circle with radius of 6325km  and you get a very large number of gigawatts.  Plenty of energy, even before we get to wave power.</p>
<p>This doesn&#8217;t really address that we can&#8217;t use all of that power.  I know.  But its there.  And it doesn&#8217;t address that people don&#8217;t realize how close we are collape.  But the power is there.</p>
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		<title>By: Janene</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15602</link>
		<dc:creator>Janene</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Jul 2006 15:34:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15602</guid>
		<description>Hey Tony --

Well, you are seeing something completely different from me, then.  In the current economic model, there really is no way to encourage upstream changes to ' have the materials you want to extract in the future, rather than rapidly depleting them for the sake of shallow profits.'  Reason being, in our current economic model, anyone that follows that premise is in significant danger of getting swallowed up/eliminated before they will be able to take advantage of that long term strategy.  Basic Prisoner's Dilemma stuff.

Janene</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey Tony &#8211;</p>
<p>Well, you are seeing something completely different from me, then.  In the current economic model, there really is no way to encourage upstream changes to &#8216; have the materials you want to extract in the future, rather than rapidly depleting them for the sake of shallow profits.&#8217;  Reason being, in our current economic model, anyone that follows that premise is in significant danger of getting swallowed up/eliminated before they will be able to take advantage of that long term strategy.  Basic Prisoner&#8217;s Dilemma stuff.</p>
<p>Janene</p>
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		<title>By: Tony</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15601</link>
		<dc:creator>Tony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Jul 2006 14:59:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15601</guid>
		<description>E-85 is a good example, standing alongside Brazil's sugarcane ridiculousness, of making the problem worse, nto better.

But that's not the same as the 6 billion dollar volume of daily trading on the carbon exchange.

I'm talking not about consumer end changes, but changes at the top of the upstream that are being made because it make good business sense to have the materials you want to extract in the future, rather than rapidly depleting them for the sake of shallow profits.

I believe for every politcal(E-85) and consumer("organic" foods) fad, there are hundreds of small changes being made at the primary extraction level.

RTFB, I guess.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>E-85 is a good example, standing alongside Brazil&#8217;s sugarcane ridiculousness, of making the problem worse, nto better.</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s not the same as the 6 billion dollar volume of daily trading on the carbon exchange.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m talking not about consumer end changes, but changes at the top of the upstream that are being made because it make good business sense to have the materials you want to extract in the future, rather than rapidly depleting them for the sake of shallow profits.</p>
<p>I believe for every politcal(E-85) and consumer(&#8221;organic&#8221; foods) fad, there are hundreds of small changes being made at the primary extraction level.</p>
<p>RTFB, I guess.</p>
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		<title>By: Janene</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15069</link>
		<dc:creator>Janene</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jun 2006 16:35:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15069</guid>
		<description>Hey Tony --

The green initiatives currently in place in Europe have developed slowly over many decades, allowing for a slightly slower growth rate rather than a decline.

But with our current energy problems, I don't think we have enough time to do &lt;i&gt;enough&lt;/i&gt; slowly... and the fact that the same energy issues are going to be impacting the whole world simultaneously complicates things even more...

I find myself torn on a lot of the green(generic sense) issues because so many of them are missing the forest for the trees... E-85 for example.  So do you try and explain to people the complex, systemic nature of these things to try and encourage them to work on more &lt;i&gt;useful&lt;/i&gt; strategies... or will that just discourage them from doing anything?  Conversely, do you encourage them, knowing that it is not enough, just because they are at least &lt;i&gt;trying&lt;/i&gt; to approach issues in a new way?

I dunno the answer...

Janene</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey Tony &#8211;</p>
<p>The green initiatives currently in place in Europe have developed slowly over many decades, allowing for a slightly slower growth rate rather than a decline.</p>
<p>But with our current energy problems, I don&#8217;t think we have enough time to do <i>enough</i> slowly&#8230; and the fact that the same energy issues are going to be impacting the whole world simultaneously complicates things even more&#8230;</p>
<p>I find myself torn on a lot of the green(generic sense) issues because so many of them are missing the forest for the trees&#8230; E-85 for example.  So do you try and explain to people the complex, systemic nature of these things to try and encourage them to work on more <i>useful</i> strategies&#8230; or will that just discourage them from doing anything?  Conversely, do you encourage them, knowing that it is not enough, just because they are at least <i>trying</i> to approach issues in a new way?</p>
<p>I dunno the answer&#8230;</p>
<p>Janene</p>
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		<title>By: Tony</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15065</link>
		<dc:creator>Tony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jun 2006 16:19:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15065</guid>
		<description>That's interesting. Would you say the European Ecnomony is on the berge of the collpase?

I would say that the European Monoculture Economy has already collapsed, but rather than leave hungry people and empty fields and rundown empty buildings in its wake, one economy's trash became another's treasure, literally. 

This is more than just a lifeboat strategy, it is a part of my strategy to take down civilization .</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s interesting. Would you say the European Ecnomony is on the berge of the collpase?</p>
<p>I would say that the European Monoculture Economy has already collapsed, but rather than leave hungry people and empty fields and rundown empty buildings in its wake, one economy&#8217;s trash became another&#8217;s treasure, literally. </p>
<p>This is more than just a lifeboat strategy, it is a part of my strategy to take down civilization .</p>
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		<title>By: Janene</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15059</link>
		<dc:creator>Janene</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jun 2006 14:46:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15059</guid>
		<description>Hey --

Tony, I think the fundamental problem with what you are talking about is that if we, as a culture of 6 Billion (or the US, or the EU, whatever) actaully DID what you are talking about on a massive scale it would create a massive decrease in complexity.  

Economic Growth would stall/roll back (although great things would be happening, simply &lt;i&gt;reducing&lt;/i&gt; energy needs would reduce economic activity OVERALL on a massive scale).  If, as Jason/JM Greer suggests that any decrease in complexity/ reduction in growth could set of catabolic collapse (which I am certain of in the sphere of economics at least) then what you suggest becomes its own nemesis...

Janene</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey &#8211;</p>
<p>Tony, I think the fundamental problem with what you are talking about is that if we, as a culture of 6 Billion (or the US, or the EU, whatever) actaully DID what you are talking about on a massive scale it would create a massive decrease in complexity.  </p>
<p>Economic Growth would stall/roll back (although great things would be happening, simply <i>reducing</i> energy needs would reduce economic activity OVERALL on a massive scale).  If, as Jason/JM Greer suggests that any decrease in complexity/ reduction in growth could set of catabolic collapse (which I am certain of in the sphere of economics at least) then what you suggest becomes its own nemesis&#8230;</p>
<p>Janene</p>
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		<title>By: Tony</title>
		<link>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15053</link>
		<dc:creator>Tony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jun 2006 13:51:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://anthropik.com/2006/06/do-you-believe-in-magic/#comment-15053</guid>
		<description>That's true, there is an almost infinite waste.

But all I'm saying is that we don't actually &lt;i&gt;need&lt;/i&gt; the energy we extract to provide the services we desire.
i think it's posisble to use 50 percent less resources and still have at least the same level of services. But many of these improvements increase quality of life. 

A big thing for me is what about the cost of runoff to fisherman?

basically, the ecnomy is structured so that the suppliers of inputs, be it gasoline or fertilzer, are the only one who experience profits. they are in fact, the top of the pyramid. Moving to biomicry spreads out the gains across the board, it dectralizes a great deal of our economy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s true, there is an almost infinite waste.</p>
<p>But all I&#8217;m saying is that we don&#8217;t actually <i>need</i> the energy we extract to provide the services we desire.<br />
i think it&#8217;s posisble to use 50 percent less resources and still have at least the same level of services. But many of these improvements increase quality of life. </p>
<p>A big thing for me is what about the cost of runoff to fisherman?</p>
<p>basically, the ecnomy is structured so that the suppliers of inputs, be it gasoline or fertilzer, are the only one who experience profits. they are in fact, the top of the pyramid. Moving to biomicry spreads out the gains across the board, it dectralizes a great deal of our economy.</p>
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